SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil Under-20s | 3 | 13 | 9 |
| 2 | France Under-18s | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Guatemala Under-23s | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Qatar Under-23s | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Under-20s win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tunisia Under-20s had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Tunisia Under-20s win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil Under-20s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil Under-20s | Draw | Tunisia Under-20s |
62.3% ( 0.5) | 20.4% ( -0.19) | 17.3% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.57% ( 0.34) | 40.42% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.2% ( 0.35) | 62.79% ( -0.35) |
| Brazil Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( 0.25) | 12.43% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.64% ( 0.51) | 38.35% ( -0.52) |
| Tunisia Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( -0.15) | 36.74% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.47% ( -0.15) | 73.52% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil Under-20s | Draw | Tunisia Under-20s |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.65% Total : 62.3% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 17.3% |
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