Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia Under-20s win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for England Under-20s had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia Under-20s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest England Under-20s win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
England Under-20s | Draw | Tunisia Under-20s |
36.24% ( 0.86) | 24.63% ( -0.15) | 39.12% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 59.03% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% ( 0.8) | 44% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.62% ( 0.78) | 66.38% ( -0.78) |
England Under-20s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.08% ( 0.84) | 23.92% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.87% ( 1.2) | 58.13% ( -1.2) |
Tunisia Under-20s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( -0) | 22.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% ( -0) | 55.94% |
Score Analysis |
England Under-20s | Draw | Tunisia Under-20s |
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.24% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.12% |
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