SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 75.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.22%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Brechin City win it was 1-0 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brechin City | Draw | St Johnstone |
8.92% ( 0.18) | 15.29% ( 0.02) | 75.79% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.85% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.71% ( 0.6) | 37.29% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.5% ( 0.64) | 59.5% ( -0.64) |
| Brechin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.14% ( 0.83) | 47.86% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.87% ( 0.6) | 83.13% ( -0.6) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.77% ( 0.1) | 8.23% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.21% ( 0.25) | 28.79% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brechin City | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 8.92% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.77% Total : 15.29% | 0-2 @ 12.28% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 10.22% ( -0.15)0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.54% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 6.38% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 4.7% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.06)0-6 @ 1.33% ( -0)1-6 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 75.79% |
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