SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
48.7% ( 0.19) | 24.38% ( 0.04) | 26.93% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( -0.33) | 46.61% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( -0.32) | 68.88% ( 0.32) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( -0.05) | 19.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.11% ( -0.09) | 50.9% ( 0.09) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( -0.35) | 31.21% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% ( -0.41) | 67.56% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.93% |
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