SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
55.68% ( -0.68) | 23.41% ( 0.48) | 20.91% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.7% ( -1.73) | 48.29% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( -1.6) | 70.44% ( 1.61) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( -0.86) | 17.18% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.55% ( -1.54) | 47.44% ( 1.54) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( -0.77) | 37.44% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% ( -0.77) | 74.22% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.86% Total : 55.67% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.91% |
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