SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (6.96%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (13.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Malaga |
36.38% ( -0.08) | 30.94% ( 0.04) | 32.68% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 39.62% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32% ( -0.11) | 68% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.06% ( -0.07) | 85.94% ( 0.07) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.27% ( -0.11) | 35.73% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( -0.11) | 72.51% ( 0.12) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( -0.03) | 38.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( -0.03) | 75.1% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 14.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.38% | 0-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.93% | 0-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 32.67% |
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