Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
1.51) 
-2.13) 
