SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Malaga |
39.71% ( -0.14) | 29.28% ( 0.04) | 31.01% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.45% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.76% ( -0.12) | 63.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.36% ( -0.09) | 82.64% ( 0.09) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.14) | 31.1% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% ( -0.17) | 67.43% ( 0.17) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( -0) | 36.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( -0) | 73.73% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 31.01% |
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