Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.04) 
