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League One | Gameweek 40
May 4, 2021 at 7pm UK
The Valley
LC

Charlton
3 - 1
Lincoln

Stockley (47'), Inniss (65'), Aneke (66')
Purrington (17'), Aneke (83'), Pratley (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Anderson (88')
Bramall (20'), Jones (42')
Coverage of the League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Lincoln City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawLincoln City
32.64%26.94%40.43%
Both teams to score 50.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45%54.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1%75.9%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81%31.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47%67.53%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.68%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 32.64%
    Lincoln City 40.42%
    Draw 26.93%
Charlton AthleticDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 9.63%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.64%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.42%

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