Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lincoln City in this match.
