Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lincoln City in this match.
