SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coquimbo Unido win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coquimbo Unido win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coquimbo Unido in this match.
| Result | ||
| Coquimbo Unido | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
39.91% ( 0.03) | 26.9% ( -0) | 33.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( 0.01) | 54.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% ( 0.01) | 75.66% ( -0.01) |
| Coquimbo Unido Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 0.02) | 26.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.12% ( 0.03) | 61.88% ( -0.02) |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( -0.01) | 30.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( -0.01) | 66.92% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coquimbo Unido | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.2% |
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