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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Sportivo
0 - 2
Racing


Rojas (50'), Rios (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martinez (41'), Martinez (45')
Martinez (57'), Conti (72'), Sosa (85')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Guarani 0-1 Sportivo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-3 Racing
Saturday, March 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.38%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Sportivo LuquenoDrawRacing Club
15.84% (0.086 0.09) 22.92% (0.286 0.29) 61.24% (-0.371 -0.37)
Both teams to score 44.42% (-0.616 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51% (-0.932 -0.93)53.49% (0.933 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99% (-0.794 -0.79)75.01% (0.79300000000001 0.79)
Sportivo Luqueno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.57% (-0.443 -0.44)46.43% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.95% (-0.342 -0.34)82.05% (0.342 0.34)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)17.07% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.75% (-0.817 -0.82)47.25% (0.816 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Luqueno 15.84%
    Racing Club 61.24%
    Draw 22.92%
Sportivo LuquenoDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 4.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.33% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.84%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 14.01% (0.3 0.3)
0-2 @ 12.38% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 7.3% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.6% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-4 @ 3.23% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 61.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Guarani 0-1 Sportivo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Sportivo
Wednesday, November 4 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sportivo 1-2 Defensa
Wednesday, October 28 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sportivo 2-2 Mineros
Wednesday, February 19 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Mineros 2-3 Sportivo
Wednesday, February 5 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuenca 2-0 Sportivo (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, March 8 at 12.45am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-3 Racing
Saturday, March 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Defensa
Saturday, March 16 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-2 Racing
Monday, March 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Sarmiento
Tuesday, March 5 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Racing
Saturday, March 2 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-1 Racing
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division


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