SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.38%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Racing Club |
15.84% ( 0.09) | 22.92% ( 0.29) | 61.24% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 44.42% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% ( -0.93) | 53.49% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( -0.79) | 75.01% ( 0.79) |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.44) | 46.43% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.95% ( -0.34) | 82.05% ( 0.34) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( -0.46) | 17.07% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.75% ( -0.82) | 47.25% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.84% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 14.01% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 12.38% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.24% |
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