SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guarani | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
39.02% ( 0.17) | 26.12% ( -0.02) | 34.86% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% ( 0.07) | 50.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% ( 0.06) | 72.69% ( -0.06) |
| Guarani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( 0.12) | 25.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( 0.17) | 60.37% ( -0.17) |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.05) | 27.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( -0.07) | 63.53% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guarani | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.86% |
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