SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Sepsi had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Sepsi win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Sepsi |
51.75% ( -0.25) | 23.79% ( 0.01) | 24.46% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( 0.16) | 46.09% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.61% ( 0.15) | 68.39% ( -0.15) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( -0.03) | 17.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.46% ( -0.05) | 48.54% ( 0.06) |
| Sepsi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.29) | 32.92% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( 0.32) | 69.5% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Sepsi |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.74% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.46% |
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