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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for SSC Farul had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest SSC Farul win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SSC Farul | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
36.73% ( -0.52) | 26.07% ( 0.07) | 37.19% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( -0.3) | 50.47% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( -0.27) | 72.4% ( 0.27) |
| SSC Farul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.44) | 26.64% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -0.59) | 61.88% ( 0.59) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( 0.12) | 26.38% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( 0.16) | 61.53% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| SSC Farul | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.19% |
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