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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hermannstadt had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Hermannstadt win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Hermannstadt |
53.67% ( 0.63) | 24.02% ( -0.18) | 22.31% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( 0.29) | 49.21% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( 0.26) | 71.27% ( -0.26) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( 0.35) | 18.26% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.69% ( 0.59) | 49.31% ( -0.59) |
| Hermannstadt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.26) | 36.58% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( -0.27) | 73.37% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Hermannstadt |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.31% |
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