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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win with a probability of 58.84%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.71% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
21.71% ( 0.08) | 19.44% ( 0.05) | 58.84% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 67.23% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.15) | 28.69% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.18) | 49.59% ( 0.18) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -0.03) | 25.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% ( -0.03) | 60.31% ( 0.03) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.21% ( -0.08) | 9.79% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.46% ( -0.18) | 32.53% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 21.71% | 1-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 58.84% |
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