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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.78%) and 2-3 (5.27%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Blackburn Rovers Under-21s |
32.66% ( 0.01) | 20.34% ( 0.01) | 46.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 74.49% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.44% ( -0.05) | 23.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.07) | 43% ( 0.07) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.02) | 16.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( -0.04) | 45.63% ( 0.04) |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( -0.02) | 11.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.43% ( -0.05) | 35.56% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Blackburn Rovers Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0)1-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 4.41% Total : 32.66% | 2-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 1-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 5.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 4.34% Total : 46.99% |
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