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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 14.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Dinamo Minsk win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
14.59% ( -0.08) | 21.07% ( -0.02) | 64.33% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.01% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% ( -0.06) | 48.44% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( -0.06) | 70.58% ( 0.05) |
| Dinamo Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.88% ( -0.15) | 45.11% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.97% ( -0.12) | 81.02% ( 0.11) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( 0.01) | 14.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.79% ( 0.02) | 42.2% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.59% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 12.2% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.9% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 64.32% |
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