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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
3 - 1
Dinamo Batumi

Tekpetey (13'), Rick (24'), Fonn Witry (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mamuchashvili (62')
Santos (32'), Kharabadze (45+1'), Ghudushauri (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ludogorets 0-1 Servette
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dinamo Batumi 1-2 KF Tirana
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 Dinamo Batumi

While Dinamo Batumi's side should be more match fit with their opponents not playing a competitive match in over a month, the hosts have far more experience competing at this level and we expect Ludogorets to get over the line with a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Dinamo Batumi had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Dinamo Batumi win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawDinamo Batumi
55.85% (0.117 0.12) 21.78% (-0.035 -0.04) 22.37% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.36% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.058999999999997 0.06)39.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (0.060000000000002 0.06)61.61% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (0.057000000000002 0.06)13.98% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (0.11199999999999 0.11)41.49% (-0.111 -0.11)
Dinamo Batumi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)30.99% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)67.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 55.85%
    Dinamo Batumi 22.37%
    Draw 21.78%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawDinamo Batumi
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 55.85%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 22.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ludogorets 0-1 Servette
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Servette 0-0 Ludogorets
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-0 Nordsjaelland
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-0 Fenerbahce
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Batumi 1-2 KF Tirana
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Tirana 1-1 Dinamo Batumi
Thursday, July 13 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Batumi 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-0 Dinamo Batumi
Thursday, July 21 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Batumi 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 0-0 Dinamo Batumi
Wednesday, July 6 at 7.30pm in Champions League


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