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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
18.53% ( -0.1) | 21.95% ( -0.06) | 59.52% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.58% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% ( 0.12) | 45.32% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( 0.11) | 67.66% ( -0.11) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.04) | 38.25% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.99% ( -0.04) | 75.01% ( 0.04) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( 0.09) | 14.84% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.84% ( 0.17) | 43.16% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.53% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.33% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.52% |
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