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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
54.62% ( -0.03) | 22.65% ( 0) | 22.73% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.83% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% ( 0.02) | 42.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% ( 0.02) | 65.26% ( -0.02) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( -0.01) | 15.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.39% ( -0.01) | 44.61% ( 0.01) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% ( 0.03) | 32.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.79% ( 0.04) | 69.2% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 22.73% |
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