SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead |
23.94% ( 0.29) | 22.36% ( 0.02) | 53.69% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.37% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.8% ( 0.21) | 40.19% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.43% ( 0.22) | 62.56% ( -0.22) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( 0.35) | 30.16% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% ( 0.42) | 66.31% ( -0.42) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( -0.03) | 14.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.56% ( -0.06) | 43.44% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 23.94% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.69% |
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