SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Falkirk | 14 | 2.80 | Maciver |
| 2 | QotS | 12 | 2.40 | Reilly |
| 3 | Hamilton | 9 | 1.80 | One |
| 4 | Alloa | 7 | 1.40 | Rodden |
| 5 | Annan | 6 | 1.20 | Docherty |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 1.20 | Burrell |
| 7 | Montrose | 6 | 1.20 | Brown |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 1.00 | Cunningham |
| 9 | Stirling | 5 | 1.00 | Cooper |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 3 | 0.60 | Murray |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-3 (6.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | East Kilbride |
13.09% ( 0.89) | 14.52% ( 1.01) | 72.38% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 68.35% ( -1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.93% ( -2.95) | 20.06% ( 2.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.81% ( -4.31) | 38.18% ( 4.31) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( -1.31) | 28.08% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.25% ( -1.69) | 63.75% ( 1.69) |
| East Kilbride Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.04% ( -0.9) | 4.96% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.14% ( -2.78) | 19.85% ( 2.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | East Kilbride |
| 2-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.26% Total : 13.1% | 1-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.6% Total : 14.52% | 1-3 @ 7.99% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.63)0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.7)1-4 @ 6% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 4.73% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.7)2-4 @ 3.81% ( -0.33)1-5 @ 3.61% ( -0.43)0-5 @ 2.84% ( -0.22)2-5 @ 2.29% ( -0.37)1-6 @ 1.81% ( -0.35)3-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.21)0-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.21)2-6 @ 1.15% ( -0.27)3-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.2)Other @ 4.35% Total : 72.38% |
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