Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Edinburgh City |
56.66% ( -0.06) | 23.15% ( 0.02) | 20.18% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% ( -0.06) | 48.12% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% ( -0.05) | 70.28% ( 0.05) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.23% ( -0.04) | 16.77% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.29% ( -0.08) | 46.71% ( 0.08) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.91% ( 0.01) | 38.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% ( 0) | 74.85% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 56.66% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 20.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: