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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
48.75% ( -0.15) | 23.28% ( 0.04) | 27.97% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.1% ( -0.1) | 40.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.71% ( -0.1) | 63.29% ( 0.1) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( -0.09) | 16.99% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( -0.16) | 47.11% ( 0.16) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0.02) | 27.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( 0.03) | 62.99% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.11% Total : 48.75% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.97% |
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