SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Las Palmas |
58.2% ( 0.5) | 23.14% ( -0.25) | 18.67% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( 0.63) | 50.1% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( 0.56) | 72.07% ( -0.56) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 0.4) | 16.93% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.99% ( 0.71) | 47% ( -0.72) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.1% ( 0.08) | 40.9% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.54% ( 0.07) | 77.46% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.67% |
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