Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for CD Coria had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.32%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a CD Coria win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.