It is difficult to back against Las Palmas coming out on top in this one, even if they decide to make wholesale changes and call upon some of their B team youngsters. Ontinena will hope to give a good account of themselves, but a comfortable win for the visitors is expected.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 93.67%. A draw had a probability of 4.6% and a win for Ontinena had a probability of 1.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-4 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.23%) and 0-5 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.16%), while for a Ontinena win it was 2-1 (0.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.12) 
