SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
55.64% ( 0.38) | 23.14% ( -0.17) | 21.21% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.2% ( 0.48) | 46.8% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( 0.45) | 69.06% ( -0.45) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( 0.31) | 16.65% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% ( 0.55) | 46.51% ( -0.55) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( 0.07) | 36.29% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( 0.07) | 73.07% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 55.64% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.21% |
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