SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Sirius |
45.96% ( 0.07) | 24.91% ( -0.04) | 29.13% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( 0.17) | 47.53% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( 0.16) | 69.74% ( -0.16) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 0.1) | 20.73% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% ( 0.16) | 53.35% ( -0.16) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( 0.06) | 30.06% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( 0.08) | 66.19% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Sirius |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.13% |
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