SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Malmo |
20.93% ( -0.16) | 22% ( -0.04) | 57.06% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.86% ( -0.03) | 42.14% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.45% ( -0.03) | 64.54% ( 0.03) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( -0.17) | 33.92% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( -0.18) | 70.59% ( 0.18) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( 0.05) | 14.56% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.38% ( 0.11) | 42.62% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.93% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 57.06% |
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