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European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni

England U21s
2 - 0
Israel U21s

Gordon (15'), Smith Rowe (68')
Johnson (45'), Jones (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hajaj (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Czech Rep. U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Germany U21s 1-1 Israel U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Israel Under-21s had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Israel Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.

Result
England Under-21sDrawIsrael Under-21s
47.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.45% (0.02 0.02) 28.52% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)45.84% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.081 -0.08)68.16% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
England Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)19.59% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)51.52% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Israel Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)29.63% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)65.68% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    England Under-21s 47.03%
    Israel Under-21s 28.52%
    Draw 24.45%
England Under-21sDrawIsrael Under-21s
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 47.03%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 28.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Czech Rep. U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: England U21s 3-1 Germany U21s
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Under-21 Friendlies
Last Game: Italy U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Under-21 Friendlies
Last Game: England U21s 1-2 Slovenia U21s
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship Qualifying
Last Game: Kosovo U21s 0-5 England U21s
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in European Under-21 Championship Qualifying
Last Game: England U21s 3-0 Albania U21s
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship Qualifying
Last Game: Germany U21s 1-1 Israel U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 3-0 Israel U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 5.45pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Israel U21s 1-1 North Macedonia U21s
Thursday, November 12 at 5.30pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: North Macedonia U21s 1-1 Israel U21s
Tuesday, October 13 at 1.30pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Montenegro U21s 1-2 Israel U21s
Thursday, October 8 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Israel U21s 1-2 Kazakhstan U21s
Tuesday, September 8 at 5.40pm in European Under-21 Championship


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