SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Denmark | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (7.2%).
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Slovakia |
53.15% ( 0.06) | 24.71% ( 0.13) | 22.14% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.56% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% ( -0.71) | 52.13% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.62) | 73.85% ( 0.62) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.25) | 19.57% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( -0.41) | 51.5% ( 0.41) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( -0.59) | 38.38% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.87% ( -0.57) | 75.13% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.14% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.14% |
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