SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Slovakia |
45.46% ( -3.85) | 24.75% ( 0.29) | 29.79% ( 3.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( 1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.54% ( 0.99) | 46.46% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.26% ( 0.92) | 68.74% ( -0.92) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -1.22) | 20.51% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( -1.97) | 53% ( 1.97) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( 3.14) | 29.05% ( -3.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.04% ( 3.72) | 64.96% ( -3.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norway | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.78) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.93)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.66)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.33)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.56)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.49)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.37)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.79% |
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