SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wales had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovakia | Draw | Wales |
52.31% ( -0.02) | 24.86% ( -0.03) | 22.83% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.94% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( 0.14) | 52.04% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( 0.13) | 73.77% ( -0.13) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 0.05) | 19.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% ( 0.08) | 51.99% ( -0.08) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.33% ( 0.13) | 37.67% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.55% ( 0.12) | 74.45% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovakia | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.83% |
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