SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Neman |
20.36% ( -0.18) | 25.6% ( -0.09) | 54.04% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 44.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.73% ( 0.14) | 57.27% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.89% ( 0.11) | 78.11% ( -0.11) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.83% ( -0.11) | 43.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.57% ( -0.09) | 79.44% ( 0.09) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( 0.17) | 21.25% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.83% ( 0.25) | 54.17% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 20.36% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 14.21% 0-2 @ 11% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.04% |
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