Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.