Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 38%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
