This is a crucial match for both sides, as victory could propel their seasons forward. The visitors have shown glimpses of form recently, but their last defeat exposed a lack of consistency. With home advantage in their favour, we expect the hosts to narrowly win this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Vitoria
57.7% ( 0.06)	22.11% ( -0.02)	20.18% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.37% (

0.04)

43.62% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.98% (

0.04)

66.01% (

-0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.14% (

0.03)

14.86% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.81% (

0.06)

43.18% (

-0.06)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.49% (

-0.01)

35.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.73% (

-0.01)

72.27% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 57.7%

Vitoria 20.18%

Draw 22.1%

Fluminense	Draw	Vitoria
1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.7%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.1%	0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 20.18%