Fluminense have looked a shadow of themselves so far, and they seem not to have a clue how to stop the rot. On the other hand, Cruzeiro have been solid at home this season with three wins from as many games. We are backing the hosts to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Fluminense
56.87% ( 1.37)	24.9% ( -0.06)	18.23% ( -1.3)

Both teams to score 43.46% (

-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76% (

-1.31)

57.24% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.91% (

-1.05)

78.09% (

1.06)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

0.03)

20.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

0.04)

52.35% (

-0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.4% (

-2.28)

45.6% (

2.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.59% (

-1.85)

81.41% (

1.86)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 56.86%

Fluminense 18.23%

Draw 24.89%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 14.7% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.38% Total : 56.86%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.53% Total : 18.23%