Fluminense have struggled all season and looked out of depth. In a game against the league leaders and sworn rivals, we expect the hosts to struggle once again and ultimately lose this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
-0.43) 
0.59) 
