Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
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