SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 59.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dender had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Dender win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Dender |
59.04% ( -0.37) | 20.9% ( 0.21) | 20.06% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.78% ( -0.76) | 38.22% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.5% ( -0.81) | 60.5% ( 0.81) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.32% ( -0.34) | 12.68% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.14% ( -0.71) | 38.87% ( 0.72) |
| Dender Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( -0.28) | 32.51% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% ( -0.32) | 69.04% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Dender |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.85% Total : 59.04% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.06% |
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