SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 60.21%. A win for Vikingur Gota had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Vikingur Gota win was 1-2 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Vikingur Gota |
60.21% ( -0.16) | 19.68% ( 0.05) | 20.12% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.07) | 32.2% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.2% ( -0.09) | 53.8% ( 0.09) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.49% ( -0.06) | 10.51% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.81% ( -0.14) | 34.19% ( 0.14) |
| Vikingur Gota Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( 0.06) | 28.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( 0.08) | 64.8% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Vikingur Gota |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 60.21% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.68% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 20.12% |
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