SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Gent |
33.58% ( 0.1) | 24.98% ( 0.07) | 41.44% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.27% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.95% ( -0.3) | 46.05% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.64% ( -0.28) | 68.35% ( 0.28) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( -0.08) | 26.4% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( -0.11) | 61.56% ( 0.11) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( -0.21) | 22.18% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( -0.32) | 55.58% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.44% |
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