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Nations League | League D
Sep 5, 2020 at 2pm UK
Victoria Stadium
SM

Gibraltar
1 - 0
San Marino

Torilla (42')
Walker (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nanni (12'), Simoncini (64')
Coverage of the Nations League League D clash between Gibraltar and San Marino.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 71.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gibraltar would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawSan Marino
71.34%17.66%11%
Both teams to score 47.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95%42.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54%64.46%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.51%10.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.86%34.14%
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.1%46.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.59%82.41%
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 71.33%
    San Marino 11%
    Draw 17.66%
GibraltarDrawSan Marino
2-0 @ 12.5%
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 7.12%
4-0 @ 5.3%
4-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.7%
5-0 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 71.33%
1-1 @ 8.4%
0-0 @ 4.92%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.66%
0-1 @ 3.72%
1-2 @ 3.18%
0-2 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 11%


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