SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
45.08% ( 0.24) | 26.15% ( -0.13) | 28.77% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% ( 0.44) | 52.85% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( 0.37) | 74.47% ( -0.37) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( 0.3) | 23.37% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( 0.44) | 57.34% ( -0.44) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( 0.14) | 33.08% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( 0.16) | 69.68% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.77% |
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