SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Gomel win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Gomel |
51.77% ( 0.29) | 25.55% ( -0.03) | 22.69% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% ( -0.11) | 54.8% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% ( -0.09) | 76.11% ( 0.09) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.08) | 21.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( 0.12) | 54.08% ( -0.12) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.65% ( -0.3) | 39.35% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.95% ( -0.28) | 76.05% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.42% Total : 22.69% |
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